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Water-Energy-Food-Ecosystems (WEFE) Nexus Lecture: Hydropower Climate Impact Modelling Approach for Central Asia


Hydropower provides up to 98% of electricity in some of Central Asian countries such as Kyrgyz Republic, and Tajikistan. Hydropower plants depend on the water content of the rivers fed by glacial melt water and snowmelt. However, as the climate warms, most climate models predict significant changes in the dynamics of the precipitation patterns as well as changes in glacial runoff. 

To understand the impacts of projected flow volume changes, the USAID Power Central Asia (PCA) Activity is developing models for quantifying impacts of these changes on power systems. The project plans to provide assessment tools projecting the impact of CC-induced water-flow pattern changes on power production and other needs compared with historical patterns. In addition, USAID PCA will propose recommendations for adaption and mitigation actions so that the energy systems of the region become more resilient in the future.

It is expected that the analysis and the developed model will provide projections of future hydropower generation, as well as evaluate the criticality and feasibility of future investments in hydropower and other possible climate change mitigation measures, considering international obligations to supply water resources to downstream countries.

The lecture will focus on issues such as:

  • Approach and methodology to hydropower modelling;
  • Capabilities of modelling tools;
  • Power generation planning and RE integration;

The fourteenth lecture will be organized as an interactive session, and we are pleased to introduce our distinguished speaker:

  • Mr. Victor Bedoya-Restrepo, Energy Sector Principal, Tetratech and Сonsultant, USAID Power Central Asia Activity.

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